Just when you thought the Kenny Rogers saga couldn't possibly get any more bizarre, Friday summoned forth another dramatic twist.
MLB.com's Jason Beck reports that Rogers has fired his agent, Scott Boras, and is now representing himself in all contract negotiations from this point forward. League-wide e-mails informing all thirty Major League teams of the news were sent through MLB and the MLBPA early Friday afternoon.
While the impact of Boras's dismissal on the talks between Rogers and Tigers GM Dave Dombrowski is not yet known, Jon Paul Morosi of the Detroit Free Press believes Kenny's decision to terminate Boras was strongly driven by his desire to stay in Detroit. In addition, Rogers re-iterated his hopes of remaining with the Tigers organization in an e-mail to the Free Press on Friday morning:
�My opinion of the Tigers remains extremely high,� Rogers wrote on Friday morning. �My first priority has not changed. I hope to be with the Tigers in 2008.�
Yeah, that doesn't seem to bode particularly well for the Rangers' odds. Morosi goes on to say that an agreement between Rogers and the Tigers could now "come quickly" with the Boras factor gone, and mentions that Detroit's top offer currently sits somewhere in the range of one year, $8 million.
With Boras reportedly seeking a $10 million contract for his client earlier in the week, it would not appear that the two sides are very far apart financially at this point. In all likelihood, an agreement between Rogers and the Tigers will probably be reached within the next couple days. And that, my friends, will render this whole controversy moot.
Nonetheless, Evan Grant of the Dallas Morning News said on Friday morning that the Texas Rangers could easily beat Detroit's top offer, and put forth this suggested contract proposal:
Give Rogers $8.8 million (topping Detroit by 10 percent) for a year. Make $7 million up front (which jives with the A-Rod savings), $2 million deferred. Give him a vesting option for 2009 at $8 million that kicks in at 185 innings. If the option isn't picked up, there would be a $500,000 buyout. It amounts to $9 million guaranteed for Rogers, which trumps the Detroit offer and doesn't hurt the Rangers' 2008 payroll.
In a vacuum, that offer is more than competitive. Unfortunately, the deep rift between Rogers and owner Tom Hicks would still remain a huge obstacle to any sort of deal getting done.
Grant did go on to propose a dream plan where Hicks and Rogers sit down face to face and privately iron out their differences, with Hicks apologizing to Kenny for the front office leak early in the 2005 season that led to the nasty (and completely unsubstantiated) rumors of Rogers allegedly threatening to retire if not given a contract extension. In return, Rogers would publicly apologize to Hicks, the Rangers and their fans.
Could it happen? Sure. Will it happen? Probably not, even before Friday's latest developments. And just to further suppress the possibility of Rogers reuniting with Texas, Kenny called Hicks' demands for an apology "confusing" in his aforementioned e-mail to the Free Press:
�I have already made a sincere and public apology to the fans, my teammates and family,� Rogers wrote.
Whether or not you're in favor of the idea of bringing the Gambler back for one final stint, the chances of that scenario coming to fruition are looking less and less likely with each passing day. In fact, unless there's another dramatic turn of events on the horizon that brings a sudden and abrupt end to Kenny's relationship with the Tigers, I'm considering the whole issue dead in the water.
T.R. Sullivan of MLB.com has a new piece on some of the options currently being evaluated by general manager Jon Daniels, including an investigation into the availability of potential blockbuster trade headliners such as Johan Santana, Miguel Cabrera and Erik Bedard:
"It's real slow right now," Daniels said. "Until the first domino falls, it may take some time. Teams are holding on to their resources for guys at the top of the list. I don't know if any of these big names will even be moved, but I'm glad we made the decision to make our big trade at the end of July. If we had held on to Mark [Teixeira], there would be a lot of competition right now."
[...]
"For the right players we are inquiring across the board to see whether it makes sense as far as the asking price and the contract," Daniels said. "We'll make a decision on an individual basis but we're looking at all premium players."
As far as what it might take to reel in somebody like Cabrera (who wouldn't make much sense for Texas regardless, seeing as how he's a free agent after 2009), the asking price is apparently set near the level of what the Rangers obtained for Mark Teixeira in July. In other words, it ain't happening.
Sullivan also confirms the Rangers' interest into the Japanese free agent market, which includes the familiar names of right-hander Hiroki Kuroda and outfielder Kosuke Fukudome. Speaking of Fukudome, Baseball Prospectus's Mike Plugh has a really good article on some of Japan's impending free agent exports, which includes this brief scouting report on Kuroda:
He's not Daisuke Matsuzaka, but Kuroda a very strong power pitcher with a low to mid-90s fastball and a wicked forkball. In addition, he features a plus shuuto, something like a screwball, as well as an effective change. Even if he only pans out as a third or fourth starter in the majors, he will give you innings, work deep into games, and he should be fairly consistent start to start.
Back in April, Plugh described Fukudome as "tailor-made for the Major Leagues," while praising his excellent outfield defense, stellar plate patience, and 20 HR/50 2B offensive potential. The prospect of landing Kuroda still doesn't particularly excite me, but I'm slowly coming around on Fukudome - especially with the news that his rehabilitation from season-ending elbow surgery went "extremely well."
Of course, free agent center fielder Torii Hunter remains the supposed top priority for Texas this winter. Although the wisdom behind targeting Hunter as the club's prime off-season target continues to be a hot topic of debate, Richard Durrett of the Dallas Morning News fully advocates giving Hunter a five-year contract:
Even if Hunter loses a step and can't play centerfield, there's no sign that his bat will disappear. He can move to a corner outfield spot and still be a productive player after 35. He's coming off a season in which he hit .287 with 28 homers and 107 RBIs.
Hunter hit an admittedly solid .287/.334/.505 with 28 HR in 600 AB for the Minnesota Twins in 2007, along with a .278 EqA. While that's pretty good production from a center fielder, and while he's likely to remain an above-average center fielder over the next two or three years, the real issue at hand is those latter years of a potential contract - in other words, when the Rangers are expected to be at or near the height of their competitiveness.
For his career, Torii is a .271/.324/.469 hitter with a .262 EqA. That's below-average offensive production from either corner outfield spot, and it requires you to make an important assumption: will a declining Hunter in his age 35 season, whose game is largely reliant on power over plate patience, even be that good offensively come 2011? Keeping in mind that the 2011 season would mark just the fourth year of a five year contract, the answer to that question is probably not.
So in essence, the Rangers may be looking at a situation three or four years down the road where they possess a declining player who isn't really mobile enough to play center field anymore, but at the same time, isn't really good enough offensively to be an asset as a corner outfielder. And the low cost of the services for said player? Only $16-17 million.
I'll pass.
In an update to a story originally published by Evan Grant last Thursday, negotiations between the Rangers and Ian Kinsler's agents have reportedly reached a standstill. Although both camps continue to talk about a possible five year deal for the 25-year-old second baseman, there's apparently a big gap between the sides as far as money is concerned.
Baseball America released their list of the top 20 Arizona Fall League prospects on Friday, which included catcher Taylor Teagarden (#10) and outfielder John Mayberry (#19). Although Matt Harrison didn't make the cut, Lone Star Ball's Adam Morris took BA's Chris Kline to task for his very odd exclusion of shortstop Elvis Andrus from the list.
As an aside to that, the 19-year-old Andrus received special props from T.R. Sullivan in his weekly "Friday Happy Hour" segment, with Sullivan quoting unnamed scouts who say that Andrus is "good enough defensively to play in the Major Leagues right now" and is "an extremely smart baserunner." Through 51 AB in the AFL, Elvis is hitting a stellar .353/.411/.471.
And finally, the Fort Worth Star-Telegram's Jim Reeves isn't a big fan of Barry Bonds.
Whew. I'm exhausted.