Tuesday Morning Rangers Notes: Blocking Out The Nightmares
Kevin Millwood winds up in preparation of a likely unsuccessful pitch against the Mariners on Saturday, September 12th.There are the bad games, there are the really bad games, and then there are the games that occupy that rareified tier of repugnance -- the ones that actually compel me to scrap what I was originally going to write about and hastily flesh out my backup plan:
● If you've grown sick and tired of hearing about Kevin Millwood, let me be the first to tell you that you're hardly alone. That disclaimer aside, the controversial nature of his contractual situation and the fact that he appears to be caught in this weird nexus between "mechanically unsynchronized" and "injured" is going to continue fueling this story until some sort of closure is found, be it in the form of Millwood hitting that 180-inning marker, resurrecting his fast-fading command or getting shut down for good ... and I think we all know what sort of unwelcome reprisal that last scenario would bring upon the Rangers courtesy of Millwood's agent, Scott Boras, and a presumably incensed MLBPA.
[Incidentally, Millwood logged a bullpen session for a second consecutive day on Monday and has been watching game video of his more palatable first-half starts in an effort to render his delivery more "upright," with the degradation of his mechanics being chiefly blamed for his second-half struggles; as things currently stand, he's slated to start either Sunday afternoon's series finale against Anaheim or next Tuesday evening's tilt in Oakland.
Now, is Millwood actually injured, or is he simply fighting through mental fatigue and some typical arm soreness? It's certainly easier to take his declaration of health at face value, and there's really no chance of jettisoning him from the rotation unless something concrete and medically supportable is uncovered. Also, if the Rangers were to attempt to file paperwork supporting their claim that Millwood was, in fact, injured, you can bet that documentation would be scrutinized right down to the last punctuation mark by any number of high-ranking eyeballs. Vesting options aren't imprudent in the abstract, but this whole debacle illustrates why they're hardly failsafe contractual mechanisms.]
One thing which definitely merits notation is that the one-start plunge in Millwood's Pitch f/x-clocked fastball velocity -- really, this applies to any major league pitcher -- doesn't really appear to be indicative of a velocity-sapping arm affliction, or anything else for that matter. Why, you ask? Because while Millwood averaged just 88 mph with his heater during his futile Saturday evening effort against the Mariners, noted fireballer Felix Hernandez -- who has averaged roughly 94 mph with his fastball in 2009 -- sat roughly 2.5 mph below his velocity baseline, as did Tommy Hunter, Brandon Morrow and presumably everybody else who pitched through that rain-soaked three-game weekend set.
That sort of across-the-board phenomenon is obviously the product of miscalibration in the Pitch f/x system at Rangers Ballpark in Arlington, and therein lies one of the lingering problems in using Pitch f/x-mined data for pitching evaluation -- variation isn't supposed to exist in the system from ballpark to ballpark, but it does with startling frequency, and it's why baseball can't afford to become complacent with pitch-tracking technology. It can -- and will -- get better, but until the day of nigh-perfection arrives, the perpetual grain of salt will have to remain in play.
● Last Friday afternoon, Ranger owner Tom Hicks flatly stated that his franchise was operating under "normal budgetary constraints" and was not being subjected to league-imposed interference insofar as financial matters were concerned, after which an most important revelation came to light -- the exact nature of the assistance the Rangers have received from Major League Baseball, which, for some reason, nobody seemed capable of nailing down until now.
According to MLB.com's T.R. Sullivan, the frequently cited $15 million figure that the Rangers were purported to have borrowed was actually a line of credit, which (a) acted as an advance on future revenues coming into the franchise coffers at the end of the season and (b) had been only partially utilized.
In addition to the extent of the league's financial assistance being far less significant than the initial media portrayals would have had you believe, one finds it more difficult to believe that the owners would attempt to create such enormous leverage against Hicks by virtue of his request ... unless, of course, that money was diverted directly into the pool of funds reserved for amateur and international signees.
[From the "For What It's Worth" Department, courtesy of Buster Olney's Monday morning ESPN.com chat transcript: "I think the Rangers' financial problems are serious, moreso than what Mr. Hicks said the other day." Well, okay then. Maybe we can get Buck Showalter's take on this as well, since he's actually still on the payroll. So, too, is John Hart -- in fact, did you realize that Hart is under contract with the Rangers through the 2013 season? To put that into context, Michael Young will be 37 years old by then ... and I'll be 26. Yikes.]
Given Hicks' candid acknowledgement that the Rangers had invested in excess of $3 million into Latin America since being green-lighted for that line of credit, one could see how the timing might look a tad suspicious, but as Michael Hodson -- author of The Mobile Lawyer and apparently devout reader of this space -- has asserted multiple times in e-mail exchanges, not even an owner-pressured commissioner's office should possess the latitude to mandate what the Rangers do with Millwood, much less how they choose to spend in the off-season.
Injury Notes: Third baseman Michael Young (strained left hamstring) enjoyed a productive indoors workout on Monday and hopes to have a target date for his return within the next 48 hours ... Outfielder Josh Hamilton (pinched nerve, lower back) received a third epidural injection of cortisone last Friday and is reportedly "determined" to return to the lineup in time for Friday evening's series opener against the Angels; he did not, however, throw or play catch on Monday ... Catcher Jarrod Saltalamacchia (Thoracic Outlet Syndrome) received a second opinion in St. Louis on Monday and will undergo additional tests on his right arm later today; a confirmation of Dr. Gregory Pearl's original diagnosis could convince Saltalamacchia to go ahead and undergo season-ending surgery, but nothing has yet been finalized.
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Reader Comments (6)
wow Joey, I know where we are, but I cant find the paddle, does Boras have it?
what was it Dandy Don used to sing about the fat lady?
I'm begining to hear it.......................
Don Meredith used to go into his rendition of "Turn out the lights, the party's over" by Willie Nelson, on Monday Night Football
The "fat lady" refers to local sports anchor and writer Dan Cook of San Antonio, who in 1978, with the Spurs up 3-1 in the finals vs the then Baltimore Bullets uttered "it ain't over till the fat lady sings" on his nightly sportscast the nigt before game 5. Dick Motta used the phrase in a national televised interview, the Bullets came back (with help of NBA referees in my view, you couldn't have an expansion ABA stepsister win the championship in their 1st year in the league) to win the series. Dick Motta became a celebrity and the phrase became synonymous with any team facing an uphill battle.
The nightmare for the Rangers seems to be every 4th or 5th or spot starting spare to step on the mound!
thanks AS. great info. I copied it and filed it away
"...did you realize that Hart is under contract with the Rangers through the 2013 season?" - DISGUSTING!
Millwood is sitting on 175 IP... and I'd sit his ass and not give him another opportunity to pitch.
JD and Wash could shut him down and spin it as an injury, etc... whatever it takes just don't let him foot the rubber EVER again at the ballpark in Arlington.
Harsh? Yes... it's a bit harsh but we've suffered through too many years of this fat, out of shape, over hyped, not a #1 (or #2... or #3 or 4) pitcher for too long.
Send a message to the youngsters that if you don't scratch my back, you can forget about me scratching yours.
I'm sure Millwood is a decent human being... and God bless everyone that tries to earn a paycheck... but this guy has ROBBED Rangers ownership, mgmt, and the fans! He does NOT deserve the opportunity to hit his the 180 IP.
In fact, by putting him on the IR for the remainder of the year you would not only send a message to the young players in this organization... you would send a message to Boras that says "we won't be screwed over AGAIN by you and your flabby ass players"...
Granted, the backlash of this could also be horrible... particularly for the vets on the team... but you can't tell me that deep down inside Michael Young's soul he doesn't want to kick Millwood in the teeth for the years of "mound incompetence". I know MY get's paid a ton of money... but the guy has EARNED it! Millwood has NOT! He's had his moments but $12M a yr is supposed to buy more than "moment"... it's supposed to buy a player that will perform at a high level.
I also realize that by sitting Millwood you would ultimately be slapping Boras in the face... GOOD... he deserves it! He's screwed this team out of serious money... it's about time he gets screwed over too. And besides, if he represents a future player that the Rangers are interested in, and the Rangers offer more money than anyone else, Boras will let that player sign here in a heartbeat. It's all about the money!
This team has turned a corner... and I believe JD and Nolan have set forth a concrete direction/plan that will make the Rangers very successful... we don't need players like Millwood mucking things up.
Sorry for the rant... but I've had it! When I look at Millwood's stats it almost seems like he had this season all planned out... and he knew he would hit that 180 IP level and then ride the pine and start making fishing plans for Oct 1st.