Swept Away: Rejuvenated Rumors Arise As Rangers Beat Red Sox
Raise your hand if your keen and penetrating powers of foresight alerted you hours in advance of Wednesday evening's series finale that Dustin Nippert would supplant an influenza-ridden Vicente Padilla -- and that the enduring images of the evening would be (a) Nippert doffing his cap to a wildly applauding 39,778-person contingent at the conclusion of his excellent 5.2-inning start and (b) Doug Mathis excitedly punctuating his impeccable 3.1-inning relief performance with a fist pump as the Texas Rangers swept one of baseball's best teams straight out of Arlington.
Given the heavily attrited state of the Rangers' bullpen and the unfavorable Buchholz-Nippert pitching matchup (which did not bode well for Texas on paper), you might say that I never remotely saw that outcome coming. Stunning win. Stunning sweep. Hell, stunning season.
The dirty little-turned-not-so-little secret plaguing this offense right now is that Josh Hamilton is not only not hitting, but is also not looking particularly good not hitting, and that greatly undermines this ballclub's chances if his prolonged post-disabled list slump is indicative of a much larger fault in his plate mentality, swing mechanics or offensive approach (all of which Hamilton and hitting coach Rudy Jaramillo are proactively attempting to address), but it was downright uplifting to watch a hurting Nelson Cruz (2-for-2, two walks) and a potentially sickened David Murphy (2-for-4) and an unyieldingly aggressive basestealing unit (6-for-6 on the basepaths against Red Sox catcher Jason Varitek) prop up their struggling offensive lynchpin while he tries to figure it out.
The disappearance of Hamilton's bat is paramount among the issues currently afflicting the Rangers, but that was a sensational bailout by his teammates. And while it's a blatantly trite and clichéd thing to say, that entire game exemplified why you take a legitimate shot at getting to October if a trade possibility presents itself that (a) fits within your financial and talent parameters and (b) does not entail risk to such a degree that it surpasses your risk tolerance threshold.
Why? Because anything can happen in a single game (as evidenced by what most recently transpired in Arlington), or in a handful of games, or even in seven games, as Baseball Time in Arlington's David Brown wrote back on June 20th:
The sad truth is that opponent matchups, hot- and cold-streaks for key as well as bit players, weather, untimely errors, minor injuries, coaching and umpiring mistakes, media attention, family issues, and the baseball gods profoundly affect the outcomes of each playoff series. Because the eventual champion must win three such series, the selection of each year's post-season winner is essentially random.
Since establishing an internal July 28th deadline beyond which Blue Jays general manager J.P. Ricciardi will not deal highly sought-after ace Roy Halladay (primarily because a pre-July 29th trade would afford Toronto enough time to organize a quick fire sale and accumulate as much young talent as possible), we've learned that (a) Halladay has clearly indicated his disinterest in waiving his no-trade clause to join Texas, (b) the Rangers have "no money," per multiple sources, (c) Ricciardi is "unlikely" to deal Halladay due to the lack of manifestation of a viable trade offer and (d) if Halladay is to be traded, the Brewers might suddenly be in the driver's seat. It's probably about time to drop the entire Halladay-to-Texas notion once and for all, because it ain't happenin'.
Interestingly, FOXSports.com's Ken Rosenthal has yet again linked Texas with Indians left-hander Cliff Lee -- whose 2009 ($5.75 million) and 2010 ($9 million) salaries are not excessively prohibitive -- in reporting early Thursday morning that the Rangers have maintained "continued interest" in the American League's reigning Cy Young Award winner, speculating that the clearance of the remainder of Hank Blalock's $6.25 million salary from the books would help facilitate a deal; Blalock is enhancing his profile with sturdy glovework at first base and a resurgent, albeit inconsistent bat, but a trade doesn't seem terribly practicable right now given the already weakened state of the offense and the fact that dealing a perceived established middle-of-the-order hitter would not play well in the clubhouse.
As of the evening of June 24th, Cleveland was reportedly seeking a "potential top-of-the-rotation starter at the level of the Braves' Tommy Hanson or Red Sox's Clay Buchholz," with the Rangers equivalent obviously being Neftali Feliz or Derek Holland, but in spite of the high price tag in terms of talent, his potential impact as a six-win-caliber pitcher is understandably a source of great enticement to Texas. A one-two punch atop the Rangers' starting rotation comprising Lee and Kevin Millwood would be potent, particularly in a short playoff series, and with 10 more games looming on the horizon against the first-place Angels, Lee could play a consequential role in helping Texas overtake Anaheim.
A long shot? Assuredly. Yet, for some unexplainable reason, this one feels as thought it has some modicum of hope behind it. And I'm really not sure that the same could ever be said for the Halladay-to-Texas conjecture.
Minor League Notes: Since being optioned to Triple-A Oklahoma City on the evening of July 5th, first baseman Chris Davis has battered Pacific Coast League hurlers to the tune of .356/.409/.661 and has reverted to the drills he utilized during his 2007-2008 breakout campaigns ... Double-A Frisco third baseman Johnny Whittleman (BBTiA's No. 25 prospect) has hit .273/.459/.745 with eight home runs in the month of July en route to compiling a monthly walks-to-strikeouts ratio of 19-to-15 ... Short-season Spokane southpaw Robbie Ross sports the best strikeout rate (34 percent) and presumably the best ground ball rate (70 percent) in the Northwest League.
As was first reported by D Magazine's Mike Hindman, the perplexing illness which has befallen Michael Main has prompted the Rangers to send the 20-year-old right-hander home to Florida, where he will reportedly remain until August ... Double-A Frisco right-hander Michael Schlact reportedly underwent surgery on Monday to repair a partially torn labrum and posterior cuff and will miss the remainder of the 2009 minor league season ... Industry publication Baseball America has tabbed Low-A Hickory left-hander Martin Perez -- whom was deemed the 46th-best prospect by the same publication two weeks ago, with slumping Oklahoma City first baseman Justin Smoak placing fourth and RedHawks right-hander Neftali Feliz placing 13th -- as one of a handful of "untouchable" prospects in the game right now while extolling the all-too-familiar virtues of his raw stuff, excellent delivery and outstanding competitiveness.
Quick Hits: Right-hander Vicente Padilla (influenza) is not currently slated to start any of the Rangers' three upcoming games in Kansas City ... Disabled left-hander Matt Harrison (left shoulder inflammation) logged two innings of three-hit baseball in his minor league rehab start with Double-A Frisco on Wednesday evening.
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Reader Comments (9)
trade Blalock for "something" he wont be back next year, bring back Davis, pray for Hamilton, and keep your hopes up.......
dont trade any of our players yet, the future is now....
I you could get Zach Duke for Blalock and maybe someone like Nippert - I'd do that. But otherwise, I kind of agree with billy. They have enough depth and the young guys are producing right now on the pitching staff - so they don't really need anyone there. The hitting is a problem, but as we saw in Boston, if pitching does its job - they don't really need to score 8 runs a game to win ballgames.
My feeling is that some bigger fish will scoop up Lee and Halladay, and if the Rangers do strike it'll be small potatoes. Then they will have the offseason to sort all this out - to improve the club and figure out which guys are staying and which are going to be part of trades. Assuming both Smoak and Borbon are ready to jump into starting jobs @ 1b and CF in April, the team will need to do the following:
1. Get a DH who can walk, hit for power and average
2. Get at least 1 starter - maybe Ben Sheets?
3. Go for John Lackey if at all possible, although teams are going to throw a lot of money at him.
That's not a huge to do list.
I wonder if Hamilton is 100% recovered from his surgery.
We might get a Texas discount on Lackey seeing how he lives here.
Something to think about maybe for the off-season: would the team consider trading Nelson Cruz for a pitcher and signing a FA like Holliday to take his place? Put Holliday in left, Borbon in CF, and Hamilton in RF. Or they could keep Cruz and have a rotating DH slot.
Just thinking... if FA pitchers tend to stay away, why not try to land a big bat instead?
I wonder how much of Hamilton's struggles can be attributed to the swing tinkering Rudy and he did late last season and in the offseason "so that he could avoid prolonged slumps." Not to armchair quarterback too much, but what was wrong with 32/130 that needed tinkering?
I'm wondering if Hamilton came back too fast after his abdominal surgery. I'm sure that Lakey would give a Rangers a 'hometown discount', just like Tori Hunter did!
This team can win with what its got, but it has to play 'small ball' against the better pitchers. That means going deeper into the count to make the opposing pitchers work in the Texas heat. It means using the bunt, swinging level for line drives, playing good defense, and throwing strikes with an assortment of pitches.
I don't think he has a problem with his swing. His problem is he can't hit any pitch the doesn't have the word "fast" in it. But, while we're on the subject of trading OF for SP, why don't we trade Josh Hamilton in a deal for Clayton Kershaw, Cliff Lee, Matt Cain, or Zack Grienke? He's slumping but he still has a lot of trade value if the other team were convinced that he will come back.
Roy Oswalt in the offseason?
Hamilton is killing me right now. Why cant he sit back and work counts? He has been swinging at the first pitch in like 90 percent of his at bats lately. (Ok I cant verify that but it seems that way)
Forget Halladay, Forget Lee, package Hank and an outfielder for something, and lets hope we can play good ball and make the postseason, or look forward to the offseason to make something happen.
JD: Cruz wields considerable trade value given his performance and pre-arb status (he won't be eligible for arbitration until after the 2010 season, incredibly enough), and the safe assumption to make at this point is that the free agent market will remain in a depressed state this winter, and I really like Holliday, but ... well, I already have serious reservations with respect to the Rangers' ability to add a single mid-range piece through free agency, and that apprehension similarly translates to any potential pursuit of Holliday.
The muddled ownership situation is the 800-pound gorilla in the room, and I don't think anybody really knows just how long it's going to take up residence. If the uncertainty stretched beyond October and into November/December, how does Texas proceed from there? Hell, what happens if the new ownership consortium decides it wants to make sweeping changes? One would certainly hope that Hicks would insist upon Ryan/Daniels being tabbed as indispensable components of the front office by the new regime, and I can't imagine such a regime would want to discharge the talent that put the Rangers in this enviable position in the first place, but there is palpable reason for concern nevertheless. Hicks has mastered the fine art of noninterference just as he appears to be on the outs.
Sage: Kershaw and Greinke are untouchable and trading Hamilton now would be the very epitome of selling low, even if he would help recoup a pitcher in the vein you are suggesting. That, and I can't imagine Texas is even remotely mulling the possibility of dealing Josh right now.
Regarding Hamilton's offensive issues, several concerning things stand out: he's swinging more often at pitches both inside and outside of the strike zone (as well as missing more often) and is faring particularly badly against the fastball, two conflated problems. There are other more striking discrepancies from last year (his BB/K ratio, for one), but these are largely resultant from his plate discipline statistics. He's getting fewer pitches in the strike zone than ever, but is swinging more than ever and is making less contact than ever, and while low contact numbers aren't necessarily a bad thing, per se (there are some very notable major league hitters at the bottom of the contact percentage leaderboard, including Nelson Cruz, Jim Thome, Ryan Howard and Carlos Pena), he's resting on a slippery slope. I'm hopeful that brighter days are imminent, but worried.