Wednesday Morning Rangers Notes: Trade Winds Blowing?
Wiry infielder Joaquin Arias (pictured) is reportedly drawing trade interest from the Reds.Five days.
● The Phillies, now rid of well-paid veteran outfielder Geoff Jenkins by virtue of his release on Tuesday, are expressing interest in both free-agent outfielder Gary Sheffield -- who was released by the Tigers on Tuesday -- and outfielder Andruw Jones, and have reportedly scouted Jones "extensively" this spring; additionally, infielder Joaquin Arias is eliciting "strong" interest from the Reds, who dealt utility infielder Jeff Keppinger to the Astros on Tuesday for a player to be named later and cash (T.R. Sullivan, MLB.com)
[According to Jim Reeves of the Fort Worth Star-Telegram, scouts representing both Cincinnati and Milwaukee were in Rangers camp on Tuesday. What does this all mean? I'm not really sure; heck, it might not mean anything at all. It certainly is curious that Texas would tab Arias -- questionable throwing shoulder and all -- as their starting third baseman against the Angels on Wednesday, however, which does nothing to dispel the notion that Arias is being showcased for a trade.
As for Andruw, I'll stand solemnly by the point that I've been harping on for what now seems like months on end: he wasn't going to fetch anything meaningful via trade as a part-time designated hitter/outfielder unless he unequivocally murdered southpaws through mid-July, and certainly isn't going to recoup anything more than a marginal prospect right now. If he's dealt for whatever modicum of scrap value he presently possesses and outfielder Frank Catalanotto makes the Opening Day roster instead, that will probably be indicative of the Rangers' inability to find a trade partner for Catalanotto more so than organizational disinterest in keeping Andruw.]
● Control-deficient right-hander Derrick Turnbow acquiesced to an optional minor league assignment to Triple-A Oklahoma City after being torched for three earned runs on five hits in just a single inning of work against the Giants on Tuesday afternoon; according to Turnbow, Texas wants him to work on his "mechanics and fastball command" (T.R. Sullivan, MLB.com)
[That Turnbow opted to ride things out with the Rangers rather than invoke his April 2nd opt-out clause shouldn't be viewed as an affirmation of his dedication to the organization -- or pitching coach Mike Maddux -- so much as it should be viewed as evidence that agent Damon Lapa couldn't drum up any substantive interest in his client. If there had been a major league job to be had somewhere, Turnbow would have bolted, and I think that we're all cognizant of that reality.
Depth is depth, even if it isn't very good depth, and retaining Turnbow in a minor league capacity is obviously preferable to watching him walk; that said, what sort of impetus would it take at this point to curtail Turnbow's career-threatening control problems? If the light bulb hasn't come on after weeks upon weeks of one-on-one instruction with Maddux, why is it going to suddenly come on now? Yeah, you might say that my confidence in Turnbow is something less than 100 percent.]
● In a commissioned report for ESPN The Magazine's 2009 baseball preview (April 6th issue), Baseball Prospectus -- employing Fielding Runs Above Average, or FRAA -- asserts that the Rangers' defense "still projects as the worst in the league," at minus-20 runs below average (Kevin Sherrington, Dallas Morning News)
[Even if you set aside the dubious validity of FRAA -- which was long ago surpassed by more advanced play-by-play-based metrics such as the plus/minus defensive rating system and Ultimate Zone Rating -- for a moment, this seems pretty difficult to comprehend. Josh Hamilton is a definite liability in center field at this point (albeit a liability that could conceivably be mitigated if the positive spring scouting reports on his fielding translate into quantifiable results), but most of the damage inflicted by the Rangers' shoddy defense last year came from third base, and the roster manipulation that has enabled Elvis Andrus's assumption of the shortstop position from Michael Young should produce a 25- to 30-run defensive improvement over last year.
And for those wondering, no team has ever ranked dead last in the league defensively at minus-20 runs below average -- or at least not according to UZR, which I'm far more inclined to lend actual credence to than FRAA.]
Quick Hits: Southpaw Matt Harrison was bombed by the Giants to the tune of five runs (two earned) on four hits and three walks in 1.2 innings on Tuesday afternoon; he later retreated to a minor league game against the Royals to throw another 39 pitches and meet his requisite pitch count for the day ... According to Jim Reeves of the Fort Worth Star-Telegram, some within the Rangers organization are under the impression that owner Tom Hicks won't green-light Frank Catalanotto's release.
Sinkerballer Jason Jennings has assuaged the Rangers' fears over his conversion to a relief role possibly precipitating more injury problems, and appears to have all but won an Opening Day bullpen spot ... Outfielder David Murphy could end up sitting against more left-handed starting pitchers than originally planned, which could expand Marlon Byrd's role ... General manager Jon Daniels on the ascension of left-hander Derek Holland and right-hander Neftali Feliz: "I think there's a very real chance those guys [Feliz and Holland] get an opportunity this year to help the club, but we want it to be dictated on when they're ready, not us having to make a move before that point."




Joey Matschulat
Reader Comments (16)
I guess I'd rather have Andruw than Frank Cat, if only because we need another righty bat, and Andruw does play better OF defense. But neither of those guys is in the long term plan. So... whatever.
Jennings has pitched well this season, and I guess the big surprise is that he's not in the rotation, which means that everyone ahead of him is GASP healthy for once! Wonder how long that'll last? Either way, maybe we'll actually have the Jennings that we thought we were getting last year (and that Houston thought it was getting the year before). If you look back at what he did in Colorado, he was an effective middle of the rotation dude.
Regarding Arias, I guess they'll trade him sooner or later, although one has to suspect that Vizquel is a one-year guy, and so they will need a UT infielder for 2010. Arias plays solid D, has the ability to make contact, can drive the ball a little bit, and has good speed on the bases. So he would be a pretty good UT guy - that is, if his arm is really finally okay.
So all that to say, I hope they don't just give him away. Now, if we can convince the Reds to give us, say Homer Bailey in exchange for Arias and perhaps another lower level pitching prospect - maybe a Hamburger or a Poveda to throw a couple of names out... then I think Texas will be willing to talk.
I still think they need a reliable righty setup man for this season - someone to take Benoit's spot. Not sure what they can possibly do about that now, since everyone except Boston seems to be looking for better pitching, too... but I guess stranger things could happen.
I'm just not sure about trading Arias at this point - unless the offer is overwhelming. He is still young (24) and may be coming into his own.
If he plays a full year at AAA and continues to progress, both at the plate, and in building his arm strength, he would be a legitimate trade chip. Personally, I would prefer to go that route unless Cinci is offering a package that just can't be refused.
Joaquin's value won't get any higher as a Ranger. There just is not any significant playing time for him. He is sort of over qualified to be a Rangers utility IF. He showed last year when filling in for Kinsler that his bat is ready for the MLs. This spring he has played some SS and appears to have enough arm strength to play there on a limited basis. I don't know what he could bring back by himself, but, it had better be a pitcher.
You're a good writer. But, like Lupe said.... Dumb it down.
The Reds are not going to give the Rangers Homer for Arias and a Hamburger. Reds should hold out for a whole meal or atleast get get a Frye with it.
Correct me if I'm wrong but if we release Cat we will have no lefty on the bench if Murphy is in the game.
Joey I agree with you that Turnbow did not have any other takers. I bought his comment about his desire to stay with Mike Maddux. Thanks for bringing me back to reality.
As for Arias, I have been an Arias fan since he arrived. I haven't been able to watch either Arias or Andrus play in person. Joey, in your opinion, assuming Arias' shoulder is fine, are we absolutely sure that, in trading Arias, we are trading the right ss prospect? Or is there a remote possibility that 3 years from now we'll be lamenting the decision to keep Andrus over Arias?
I think I'd target Ramon Ramirez as someone I'd like to get back from the Reds in exchange for Arias. He's not too high on their prospect list that it would be an unreasonable target. He'd fill a bullpen need and could start in a pinch.
Jason and Joey, what do you all think is the prognosis for Arias' arm?
Specifically, is plus-plus gone forever?
Remember guys, keep me in check (as TMBW alluded to) -- I have this tendency to get too elaborate when I'm up really late at night. And yes, Lupe Fiasco's pretty good. "Kick, Push" is extremely catchy. Need to check out more of his discography.
Understand that I've never been particularly bullish on Arias, so yes, I think choosing Andrus over Arias is the smart play, but my personal bias might be coloring my judgment to some extent...as far as Arias's arm, Jason and I have discussed it and I've devoured as many reports on Arias and his shoulder as possible this spring, and I really don't think it's ever going to revert back to what it once was (although it might eventually get close). He's looked okay on some throws this spring and not so okay on others.
I like your style, Joey, and as an English professor & grad student of literature I can say that you do write very well. You often employ a rather "ornate" style, not only choosing weighty diction but complex syntactical structures, and I suppose those are somewhat antithetical to much blogging. I don't think it gets in the way, but many do get hung up on style, so I suppose you'd have to tone it down if you wanted to avoid the hecklers. But on the other hand, there's no way to please everyone, as I'm sure you are already well aware. Anyway - I appreciate what you do, and I honestly enjoy your analysis on both levels of content and form.
Now, to that trade... Get er done!
Too many big words -- get a dictionary, I see nothing up there to cause discombobulation. Carry on with your usual erudition, Joey.
tball: Is my favorite big word in the dictionary? Saltalamacchia
but if we do trade arias and Vizquel is only a 1 year thing we do have duran for a utility infielder. cant he play all positions?
Rob, Salta la macchia in Italian means "it jumps the stain", so yes, it is in the Italian dictionary.
Ah aint got no problem with the way you write Joey.
Thanks for the support, guys. I'd rather be interesting but esoteric than bland and dumbed-down.