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« Friday Evening Rangers Three-Pack | Main | NEWSFLASH: Rudy Jaramillo, Texas Rangers Parting Ways »
Thursday
15Oct2009

Remembering The Rudy Jaramillo Era

As was first reported here, 2009 will mark the end of the Rudy Jaramillo era for the Texas Rangers.  Jaramillo became the hitting coach for the Rangers in 1995 and helped develop the team’s reputation as an offensive powerhouse.  During his 15 year tenure, the Rangers were among the ten highest scoring teams in the league 13 times and among the Top 5 in 8 seasons.  Rudy offenses slugged, finishing among the Top 5 in slugging percentage in ten different seasons.  Rudy offenses eschewed the walk, finishing among the Top 5 in bases on balls only once.  The table below provides an overview of the Ranger’s offensive performance during the Rudy era.
 

 

Runs

Rank

Avg

Rank

OBP

Rank

SLG

Rank

OPS

Rank

Walks

Rank

2009

784

10

.260

18

.321

26

.445

4

.766

10

472

26

2008

901

1

.283

1

.358

2

.462

1

.820

1

595

6

2007

816

7

.263

20

.329

24

.426

13

.755

16

503

23

2006

835

6

.278

6

.343

13

.446

8

.789

8

505

16

2005

865

3

.267

12

.332

15

.468

1

.800

3

495

15

2004

860

4

.266

18

.335

18

.457

6

.791

8

500

20

2003

826

8

.266

14

.334

18

.454

5

.787

7

488

23

2002

843

5

.269

7

.343

12

.455

1

.798

3

554

14

2001

890

4

.275

4

.347

8

.471

2

.818

2

548

10

2000

848

13

.283

5

.355

11

.446

12

.801

12

580

19

1999

945

2

.293

1

.365

4

.479

1

.844

1

611

12

1998

940

2

.289

2

.359

3

.462

3

.821

2

595

11

1997

807

8

.274

6

.338

14

.438

5

.776

6

500

21

1996

928

5

.284

6

.364

6

.469

5

.833

3

660

4

1995

691

15

.265

15

.340

13

.410

13

.749

14

526

11

Avg

852

6.2

.274

9.0

.344

12.5

.452

5.3

.797

6.4

542.1

15.4

 
To put the above numbers into perspective, it is worth noting that the Rangers are one of only six teams to average more than 800 runs per season since 1995 and one of only three to average at least 850 runs per season (see table below).  Remarkably, the Rangers scored fewer than 800 runs in only two of Rudy’s fifteen seasons (1994 and 2009).  Perhaps even more remarkable is that the Rangers' were able to sustain that level of production even as the team was cutting its budget and rebuilding.  Much of the credit goes to Rudy, as he was able to get productive seasons from unproven youngsters and veteran cast-offs.  Rudy might not have connected with everyone, but he certainly helped resurrect or launch more than his fair share of careers.

 

 

1995-2009

 

2005-2009

 

Avg Runs

Avg OBP

Avg SLG

Avg OPS

 

Avg Runs

Avg OBP

Avg SLG

Avg OPS

Yankees

881

.361

.449

.811

 

898

.361

.456

.817

Red Sox

862

.358

.453

.810

 

863

.362

.447

.809

Rangers

852

.344

.452

.797

 

840

.337

.449

.786

Rockies

848

.350

.450

.800

 

793

.344

.427

.771

Indians

847

.351

.447

.798

 

810

.345

.436

.781

White Sox

813

.340

.439

.780

 

767

.331

.430

.762

Mariners

809

.346

.432

.778

 

712

.327

.406

.733

   
Rudy’s departure comes after the team’s scoring dropped by 117 runs.  Couple that with the regression of several of the team’s young sluggers and I think that you have the primary impetus for the team’s willingness to let Jaramillo seek employment elsewhere.  Having a new voice with new tools and new points of emphasis was likely viewed as a plus.  Perhaps the final nail in the coffin is the team’s recent emphasis on defense.  Teams that emphasize slugging benefit from having a coach who teaches an aggressive approach to hitting.  Team’s that emphasize defense (and speed/athleticism) have fewer sluggers and thus benefit from having a coach who emphasizes batting average and walks.  The Rangers' braintrust likely viewed this as an opportune time to re-align its coaching staff with the team's strategic direction.   

So what now?  The next hitting coach will undoubtedly be asked to improve the team’s OBP, which ranked #26 in the league in 2009 at .321.  Improving the team’s OBP by 15 or 20 points should be relatively straightforward, as this season’s OBP was weighted down by batting averages from several starters who hit below their abilities (Hamilton - .268, Kinsler - .253, Davis - .238, Saltalamacchia - .233) and a couple of players who are unlikely to return (Blalock - .234 and Jones - .214).  The new hitting coach is also likely to benefit from the team’s stated mandate to sign a right-handed hitter or two who can allow some of the team’s left-handed hitters to sit against left-handed pitchers.  

The real question is whether an improved OBP will translate to more runs.  Several notable stats guys have calculated that a ten point improvement in OBP can offset a 17 point drop in slugging.  League average slugging in 2008 was .418. The Rangers slugging percentage was .445.  Assuming the team does emphasize OBP at the expense of slugging, then a drop in slugging percentage to something around the league average would have to be offset by an increase in OBP by more than 20 points if the team can realistically expect to score 800 runs in 2009.   

Reader Comments (10)

The chart shows something that is painfully clear - if the offense had played at their 2008 level, the Rangers would likely still be playing right now.

Also, very disconcerting to see our ranking in walks plummet from 6th to 26th in one year. If we can get back into the top 10 next year, I think it will bode very well for Texas.

October 15, 2009 at 9:14 AM | Unregistered CommenterDa Blade

Rudy will be on Norm's show on the ticket (1310 AM) at 10:30 this morning.

October 15, 2009 at 10:18 AM | Unregistered CommenterDave H

The Ranger batters should be forced to watch Bobby Abreu and Chone Figgins AB's all winter in preparation for next season. Then, maybe it'll sink in how to approach each AB.

October 15, 2009 at 11:19 AM | Unregistered CommenterRockwall Tim

First of all excellent post and I fully agree with your thoughts on the change.

Nonetheless, I always find the either or arguement very interesting.

"Teams that emphasize slugging benefit from having a coach who teaches an aggressive approach to hitting. Team’s that emphasize defense (and speed/athleticism) have fewer sluggers and thus benefit from having a coach who emphasizes batting average and walks."

My batting hero, Ted Williams, had a lifetime OBP of .482 and actually exceeded .500 five times in his career. Yet, he had 521 HRs and typically averaged from the upper twenties to the mid thirties annually. In 1949 he hit 43 HRs with an OBP of .490!

Frankly, I want a hitting coach that stresses what Carl Yastrzemski said aboot Ted Williams. "They can talk about Babe Ruth and Ty Cobb and Rogers Hornsby and Lou Gehrig and Joe DiMaggio and Stan Musial and all the rest, but I'm sure not one of them could hold cards and spades to (Ted) Williams in his sheer knowledge of hitting. He studied hitting the way a broker studies the stock market, and could spot at a glance mistakes that others couldn't see in a week."

I firmly believe that a high OBP forces the pitcher to throw into the strike zone thereby generating not only a higher average, but also the opportunity to jump on the errant pitches and hit the HRs as Ted Williams approach and career demonstrate.

October 15, 2009 at 11:34 AM | Unregistered CommenterJon

I agree about the approach that Abreu, Figgins, and Williams had and think the Rangers need more discipline. They are a young team that is learning to play the game the right way, and this move was necessary and will be beneficial...of course I could be wrong and the offense will flounder away and the Rangers will look like the Padres...but I feel like this is the final page that needed to be turned over before the organization could take the next step.

October 15, 2009 at 12:01 PM | Unregistered CommenterRocky

Jon - for me, the player of this generation that comes to mind is Albert Pujols. With a career line of .334/.427/.628, he's clearly productive (in fact I believe he's locked up the decade triple crown). The key for me is his walks and strikeouts (811 - 570). If you take out his intentional walks he still has more walks than strikeouts. Justin Smoak projects to be like this as far as his plate discipline is concerned. He won't have the power of Pujols, but he could finally be a Ranger who walks as much as he strikes out.

I think a good goal for the new hitting coach is to get our totals to where we're at a 2:1 K/BB ratio. It would be a big improvement, but I don't think thats all that unreasonable.

October 15, 2009 at 12:17 PM | Unregistered CommenterDave H

Dave H - Great example.

I guess it boils down to the pitch recognition. By not chasing balls out of the strike zone the batter should lower his SOs and increase his walks. What I find interesting about Ted Williams book, The Science (not Art) of Hitting is the part where he discusses the "little game" between the batter and the pitcher.

Pitch recognition for Williams was not so much a visual skill as it was a mental preparation skill. He studied the opposing pitchers until he seemed to almost get inside their heads. He knew what to look for at various times in the count snd he patiently waited for the pitcher to finally give him his pitch.

He noted that chasing pitches just one baseball diameter out of the strike zone increased the strike zone by something close to 30% which is giving up a huge advantage. Really interesting visual showing the strike zone filled with baseballs and inside is his lifetime average hitting the ball at that spot.

I can not recommend this slim volume highly enough and it is still being published even today.

October 15, 2009 at 12:47 PM | Unregistered CommenterJon

In terms of security, I guess kinda sorta I understand where Rudy is coming from. But I would also add that being offered a cost of living increase on a one year contract when you're the highest paid coach in the game is no slap in the face. If he was let go at the end of next year, does he somehow think that nobody else would hire him then, and at a high end salary? That's the only thing that sticks in my craw just a little bit.

As far as coaching, at the end of the day it's all about scoring runs. All the other stuff are just indicators to the desired end result. Earl Weaver liked the three run homer pretty good, too, and his thinking about baseball then is now considered ahead of his time. Given his body of work, Jaramillo should be proud of what he accomplished and I think he will be missed. Best of luck to him.

October 15, 2009 at 2:43 PM | Unregistered Commenterjohn in clearwater

Unrelated to the above...almost spit up my drink when I read the following:

Los Angeles will start Vicente Padilla(notes) against Philadelphia’s Pedro Martinez(notes) on Friday afternoon in Game 2.

Padilla is the second best pitcher on their staff???

Why is it certain organizations can handle volatile pitchers like Padilla and...(i forget the guy who went to the Yankees) but don't make it as a Ranger?

October 16, 2009 at 12:14 AM | Unregistered CommenterStephen

Stephen, I don't know that anyone really has an answer for that one; however, it might just be that he hasn't had enough time to let it boil over. We can look at another player in the world of football. Terrell Owens has a much worse reputation than Padilla, but take a look at his first year or two at his stops. In San Fransisco he didn't boil over for quite some time and was tremendously productive. His first year in Philadelphia didn't create any controversy but did create a trip to the Superbowl. He actually had two years in Dallas that were fairly smooth. It would seem that only prolonged exposure and a little adversity soured the team on TO.

They have two very different sets of attitude problem, but perhaps there's several things working in the Dodgers favor:
1) They were ahead in their playoff race which places less pressure on the shoulders of Padilla.
2) They didn't have much invested in him. If he didn't provide immediate results, cutting him is a lot easier than it was for the Rangers.
3) Padilla might take a little while to come out of his shell. It seemed to me he was fairly reserved here until he'd been around for a while.
4) This is the big one for me --> He's in the National League now. If he plunks a batter, he's got to stand in there with a bat at least a couple times in a start. He actually has to face the possibility that he could take a fastball in the head.

October 16, 2009 at 9:12 AM | Unregistered CommenterDave H

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