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« Tuesday Morning Rangers Notes | Main | Three Strikes: Sunday Evening Rangers Notes »
Monday
10Nov2008

Chasing Junichi Tazawa

Are the Texas Rangers purusing Japanese right-hander Junichi Tazawa (pictured)?According to MLB.com's T.R. Sullivan, the Texas Rangers have joined a growing collection of teams that have expressed some degree of interest in Japanese right-hander Junichi Tazawa, with team officials confirming that they have indeed scouted the 22-year-old free agent while declining to disclose specifics.

No fewer than a half-dozen teams -- including the Braves (who have tendered Tazawa a formal contract offer, though he is prohibited from signing with anybody until a mid-November tournament he is required to participate in by his Japanese Industrial League squad is completed), Red Sox (who were reported to be front-runners by the Boston Herald last week), Mariners (who are expected to meet with Tazawa this week), Phillies, Tigers, Pirates, and Cubs -- have been linked with the foreign flavor of the moment, whose availability to big league clubs this winter was sealed when all 12 teams in Nippon Professional Baseball passed over the talented hurler during the league's amateur draft on October 30th.

Reputedly armed with a low-to-mid 90s fastball that has been clocked as high as 97 mph, a split-fingered fastball and a "big, old-school 12-to-6 curveball" that has evoked natural comparisons to Tim Hudson (albeit with a "better curveball," according to one unnamed team official), the 5' 11", 180-pound Tazawa would not require a posting fee to sign, but could well command a Major League deal -- which would entail committing a valuable 40-man roster spot -- and a signing bonus in excess of $5 million in order to settle on a specific stateside destination.

One anonymous scout was decidedly less bullish in his assessment of Tazawa, who has pitched at what David O'Brien of the Atlanta Journal-Constitution recently described as being roughly equivalent to "perhaps A-ball or borderline Double-A ball," with Braves general manager Frank Wren likening it more to college-level competition: "His fastball is 88 to 93 [mph] ... he has a forkball, a curve, but the command of his fastball is so-so. His lower body is stiff."

It is hoped that the presence of director of Pacific Rim operations Jim Colborn -- who possesses many powerful contacts throughout Japan, where he served as the pitching coach of the Orix Blue Wave from 1990-1993 and as the Mariners' director of Pacific Rim scouting from 1997-2000 -- in the region will amplify the Rangers' chances of emerging as a powerhouse in terms of being able to acquire serious Far East talent, though they have only South Korean right-hander Tae-Kyung Ahn to show for their efforts thus far.

The consensus around the game appears to be that Tazawa's talent level is comparable to that of a first-round pick in MLB's amateur draft, but a bidding war could conceivably send his price soaring into Pedro Alvarez territory and beyond -- a princely sum that not even affluent clubs like Boston and New York would indiscriminately meet without careful deliberation beforehand.

Offered below for your perusal is a video of Tazawa in action during a Japanese Industrial League contest:

[Direct link available here.]

It remains to be seen whether the Rangers' seemingly vague interest will translate into a legitimate pursuit (and, for that matter, if a successful pursuit would net a pitcher more capable of vanquishing opposing hitters than Kazuo Fukumori, last winter's failed high-profile international signing), but it's certainly something worth keeping an eye on as we inch ever closer to the onset of free agent madness.

Reader Comments (9)

I'm not really sure what to think about going after Tazawa, aside from the fact that giving up a 40-man roster spot along with an Alvarez-like chunk of cash kind of puts me off a bit.

But then again, watching that video, I really like what I see - especially that curveball. Yowzers.
November 10, 2008 at 2:17 AM | Unregistered CommenterJon Page
Two things on Tazawa:

- All indications seem to be that his fastball rarely touches that 96-97 mph range; he's more of a 91-94 mph worker primarily.

- According to a Japanese newspaper report, Indians GM Mark Shapiro expects the bidding on Tazawa to climb past the $7M mark -- just to put that into perspective a little bit, fifth-overall pick Buster Posey ($6,200,000) netted the largest signing bonus in this year's amateur draft.

Lots of talent there, but lots of inherent risk as well. How excited Colborn is about Tazawa might be the key, because it would take a pretty lights-out review to convince the Rangers to pour that kind of money into a single unproven pitcher.
November 10, 2008 at 7:50 AM | Unregistered CommenterJoey Matschulat
But remember that that $ would be not only paying him, it would essentially be "buying" an extra (1st-round?) draft pick.

Thanks for the Bonus feature, Joey! It's a good sample. Even long enough for popcorn!

The 40-man is the bigger question. If we make some of the trades we need to make anyway (including selling high on bundled extras who have shown their max value, e.g. Cat, Laird, Byrd, Padilla, maybe even TT for Buchholz, since Salty & Max still have relatively low value, & yet Tea's OPS is 1285 or whatever...), and if we thus get fewer players (or some non-40-man players) in return, so that Poveda and a couple others can fit onto our 40-man, and we STILL have a spot, then I think we should go after him aggressively.

SIGN NO FREE AGENTS THIS WINTER!

The 40-man is the biggest reason we should try to deal w/i the next 10 days. Otherwise, it's like giving up more in the future trades than those given in the actual deals. It would be nice to get it down to 38 or so, so we could snag one or two Rule 5 players from someone else! ...

But it can only happen if we make some trades soon.
November 10, 2008 at 1:26 PM | Unregistered Commentermichael gleason
Sorry, by "...then I think we should go after him aggressively." I meant Tazawa. And then "Otherwise (sign no free agents...)"unless they fit our mold of young, long-controllable w/high upside.

Tazawa would reqire being on the 40-man roster, but would the other top Japanese FA's ? Do they fit our (exclusive) shopping list?
November 10, 2008 at 1:43 PM | Unregistered Commentermichael gleason
Phew!The Nats just got Olsen!

We've safely dodged that bullet, and now FLA is free to talk Nolasco!

MaxRam, Padilla (plus money), Murphy and Metcalf

for Nolasco and Cantu or Helms, their pick(to save them more money and give us a band-aid at third).

If they must have a young arm back, whom do you recommend?



Would y'all do it?
November 10, 2008 at 1:58 PM | Unregistered Commentermichael gleason
Well, two other names that have been thrown around are those of 33-year-old free agents Kenshin Kawakami superb control and deep mix of pitches, but not overpowering) and Koji Uehara...my knowledge of their repertoires and such is fairly limited, but they're regarded as the cream of the Japanese free agent crop looking to jump stateside.

I don't imagine they'll be underpaid.
November 10, 2008 at 4:24 PM | Unregistered CommenterJoey Matschulat
Perhaps (I don't hold Metcalf in terribly high regard), though MaxRam plus Padilla plus Murphy plus enough cash to offset the financial burden the Marlins would take on from the Padilla contract would be quite a bit to relinquish even for Nolasco when you consider that the Rangers would be acquiring a player with considerable pop at third base, but pretty awful defense.

The problem may be that the value seems fairly even on both sides, but the actual deal itself probably has little chance of happening as you laid it out.
November 10, 2008 at 4:31 PM | Unregistered CommenterJoey Matschulat
Lights out, yep. That's the key. You don't throw more money than Justin Smoak got unless Colborn convinces Daniels and co. that the Hudson comp is legit.
November 10, 2008 at 5:28 PM | Unregistered Commentert ball
Uehara is apparently being courted by the Mets and Angels (Anaheim tried to sign him out of college, but Yomiuri made him a better offer) and is now primarily being looked at as a reliever. He has had injury issues the last couple of years and got off to a horrible start this season before a pretty decent, if not spectacular second half. At this point, with his command seeming to deteriorate somewhat, I wouldn't pay him much money. Great guy, real smart and aggressive about throwing strikes.

Ken Takahashi, a lefty from Hiroshima, is seeking a job in MLB. Pretty mediocre.

The one real prize of this year's Japanese free agent class was Chunichi southpaw closer Hitoki Iwase, who would have been a very good addition to anyone's bullpen and who would have commanded big money, has reportedly decided to stay with the Dragons. He has a more than even shot at the Hall of Fame there and, iirc, is Japan's highest paid pitcher.

Kawakami's problem is that he has lost the feel for his cutter, which was his big pitch when he was going well, and I don't expect him to make any impact in MLB at all if he is still interested in playing there.

The only other really prominent free agents are Yokohama catcher Ryoji Aikawa, who isn't good enough to play that position in MLB, and Lotte outfielder Saburo Omura, whose best shot in MLB is as a reserve. I think both men will stay in Japan.

So unless Nippon Ham puts Yu Darvish on the block (not going to happen, I believe), there isn't anything exciting particularly coming out of Japan for this offseason.
November 12, 2008 at 10:18 PM | Unregistered CommenterGary Garland

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