Last night, I said that Texas's starting pitching was performing at a historically bad pace, but I wasn't sure exactly how bad. Thanks to Evan Grant's article in today's Dallas Morning News, now I know.
Among the 10 highest full-season rotation ERAs since the stat was first recorded in 1957, only four rotations had higher ERAs this deep into the season. That's right, the Rangers are on pace this season to have the 5th worst starting rotation of the past 50 years.
Texas is now 19-35 through 54 games, exactly one-third of the way through the season. They're on pace to finish 57-105, which would tie the 1973 Rangers for the worst record in club history. Coincidentally, that 1973 team began the season 19-35 as well.
Prorating out their current runs scored/allowed, the 2007 Rangers are on pace to score 789 runs and allow 915. Using the Pythagorean winning percentage formula, Texas would go 70-92 if they retain that level of production. The Rangers haven't beaten their Pythagorean record since 2004, when they finished two games better than their projected record of 87-75.
Last night's loss to the Mariners marked the first 20-loss month since June 2003, and the first 20-loss May in club history.
In other news, Brandon McCarthy is aiming for a June 9th return from the disabled list, which would put him starting against the Milwaukee Brewers next Saturday. McCarthy is expected to throw a bullpen session this weekend and pitch in a simulated game on Tuesday as he tries to recover from a blister on his right middle finger.
Jerry Hairston Jr. went 1 for 4 last night for the Redhawks, and will return to the big league club early next week from the disabled list. Victor Diaz, Nelson Cruz and Matt Kata are again named as the potential roster causalities, but JHJ hasn't played real hot himself this year. Diaz certainly wouldn't be the guy I'd send down, as his power production this year has made him a decent outfield option.
Brad Wilkerson was scheduled to play last night as well, but he felt some soreness in his hamstring and is out indefinitely. The Rangers will re-evaluate him later in the weekend; his offensive production, like Diaz, has been relatively solid. I don't expect him to be on this club next year, so getting him back healthy and letting him hit would really help his trade value.
Jamey Wright allowed three runs (one earned) on four hits in 4.2 innings of work last night for the Redhawks. Jason Botts reached base three times, and finished the month of May with a .361/.458/.546 batting line. Can you guess which one of these players deserves to be back on the big league roster?
The following quote is from Mark Teixeira, who is perhaps the hottest trade commodity in baseball right now:
"We�ve just shown that we are not a very good team," Mark Teixeira said. "We need to play better, and that�s one through 25. I felt like I was on a pretty awful team my rookie year  and we lost 91 games. It says a lot that we�re on a pace for 105-loss season."
Interpret that any way you like.
Friday, June 1st Game Preview
Texas Rangers (19-35) at Seattle Mariners (27-26)
Kevin Millwood (2-4, 6.62 ERA) vs. Jarrod Washburn (5-4, 3.22 ERA)
9:05 PM CST in Seattle, Washington (Safeco Field)
TV: KDFI/My27 | Radio: KRLD 1080 AM