What is your opinion of the A.J. Pierzynski signing?
MJH on accountability
Rangers prize 2012 supplemental 1st round pick--3b Joey Gallo hit 3 home runs last night giving him league leading 18 hr's at Low A Hickory.He also has 100 strikeouts.
ATTN: Champ! Two of his home runs came off former Rangers #1 pick-TCU ex-Matt Purke--now in W's organization.So maybe more evidence that Rangers should have drafted Shelby Miller--and signed him.
Gallo is one of many highly valued kids on the farm.
Wonder if Gallo is maybe another 2008-2012 Chris Davis in the making - tons and tons of power but massively whiff-prone.
That Hickory team is loaded with high-ceiling athletic guys, e.g. Gallo, Brinson, Alfaro, Akins, Mazara etc. Hopefully at least 1 or 2 of them start to develop some plate discipline as they get older.
Luckily Joey Gallo is young, so he's got himself 4-5 years to figure out how better to make contact. As it stands, Chris Davis is going to be an obvious comparison because of the strikeouts and power, but Gallo has a plus eye -- something Davis never had.
That's the biggest difference between them. Chris Davis has a better contact tool, but Joey Gallo is more of a Three True Outcomes player. If Gallo could ever turn himself into a .250-.260 type of hitter, he will produce quite a bit of value because of the walks/power.
Joey Gallo hit 2 more dingers tonight
He will never make the majors.
So maybe the ceiling for Gallo would be Carlos Pena or Mark Reynolds in their primes: low-average high-power guys who whiffed a ton but also walked a fair amount.
In any case, I'll wait 'til he does something @ AA-level or above before I'm impressed. So many recent high draft picks and supposed stud Rangers prospects have turned into fairy dust, e.g. Kiker, Smoak, Borbon, Mayberry Jr., Hurley, maybe Olt, Skole and Deglan have been busts their entire minor league careers so far, etc. that it's hard to not be meh about someone's performance in low-level ball.
Cody Johnson. Check it out. SO rate is unsustainable moving up in the minors. Gallo looks like he's able to tap into his power a bit more than Johnson, but that's about it. Something would have to change substantially in his swing and approach for him to make it. He ain't even gonna be an Adam Dunn.
Alfaro, Nick Williams, Mazara and Guzman are the ones with impact potential at the ML level IMO. Brinson could be a solid ML player if things go well development wise because of his position and defense, but he has the same problem as Gallo. I don't think he'll ever be an impact guy with the bat.
Here's why Gallo is most likely never gonna make it.
SO rate is unsustainable moving up in the minors. Gallo looks like he's able to tap into his power a bit more than Johnson, but that's about it. Something would have to change substantially in his swing and approach for him to make it.
You might want to slow your roll on the definitive statements. Remember, Joey Gallo is only 19 years old; he has plenty of time to make mechanical adjustments to shore up the holes in his swing. Though I agree with your general premise about strikeouts, I'm not ready to bury a prospect because of the rate he's striking out in his first full pro season.
Remember, approach isn't Gallo's problem; he takes his walks. His problem is, like Mike Olt, the amount of contact he makes.
19 is way too early to bury a prospect.
40% SO rate is unsustainable. Read that article. Cody Johnson was also 19 in his first season of pro ball. If you can find a prospect that struck out 40% of the time in the lower minors and went on to do anything of note at the ML level let me know.
I hope I'm wrong of course, and he somehow turns into Adam Dunn. It's just that no evidence supports it, regardless of his age and it being his first full season of pro ball.
The Rangers struckout on Gallo.
Jason, it's way too early to bury him. There's plenty of time for him to try to work it out.
Jason, here's an article for you, and it's Gallo-specific: http://www.baseballamerica.com/minors/prospect-notebook-joey-gallos-power-binge-continues/
Go to see a Hickory game and you’ll likely see Gallo strike out once, twice or three times. He’s struck out three times in 12 different games this season. He’s struck out four times once. His 102 strikeouts in 64 games this season puts him on pace to strike out more than 200 times this year. He only has eight games this year where he hasn’t struck out, helping to explain why he’s hitting just .236.
But if you focus only on the strikeouts, you run the risk of losing sight of the fact that Gallo’s kind of power is almost impossible to find. It’s the kind of 80-grade power that is worth enduring years of development, because as a 19-year-old, he does have a chance to improve his biggest weakness. Not many hitters can be even remotely productive striking out as often as Gallo does, but then, very few teenagers could even dream of hitting 40 home runs in the South Atlantic League, something Gallo is currently on pace to do.
Sustainable or not let's just look at the simple math. Say he strikes out twice a game but hits homers once every other game. I can live with it until he can figure out a little more plate discipline.
Minor League stats are limited in how deep you can go with them, but from what I've been able to gather from scouting reports, Gallo's problem is more with contact than it is with plate discipline. Dude can draw walks.
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