What is your opinion of the A.J. Pierzynski signing?
MJH on accountability
I was thinking I'd start a prediction thread for the upcoming season. Taking bets on how fast it gets derailed by trolls.
I'm thinking MVP, Cy Young, Rookie of the Year, Manager of the Year, as well as playoff teams and winners. And with the number of no-no's in recent years, even pick a pitcher to toss either a perfecto or a no-no. Here goes:
MVP - Josh Hamilton, Angels - A full year of motivation means danger for pitchers. Of course, if he takes a few months off during the season again this is a no-go. Runner up, Jose Bautista, Blue Jays.
Cy Young - Justin Verlander, Tigers - For my money, he's the best pitcher in the game. I think he doesn't win it only if he's injured.Runner up, Yu Darvish.
Rookie of the Year - Bruce Rondon, Tigers - Voters seem to like bullpen arms, see Andrew Bailey, Neftali Feliz, Craig Kimbrel. If Rondon can get his act together, he should be a front-runner. Runner up, Dylan Bundy, Orioles.
Manager of the Year - Bob Melvin - Does it again with a team that not many people are talking about. Runner up, Joe Maddon, Rays.
No-hitter - Darvish - Oh yeah, I went there.
MVP - Bryce Harper - Could experience a sophomore slump, but what if he's as good as advertised? Runner up, Ryan Braun, Brewers.
Cy Young - Tim Lincecum - I really don't think he'll win it, but I wanted to say I called it if he returns to form. Runner up, Stephen Strasburg, Nationals.
Rookie of the Year - Nolan Arenado - He's got the tools, now he needs to use them. Runner up, Oscar Taveras, St Louis.
Manager of the Year - Davey Johnson, Nationals - Takes the majors' best team to over 110 wins. Yeah, I said it. Runner up, uhhh, I don't know.
No hitter - Matt Cain, Giants - Just a damn fine pitcher.
Playoff teams, AL:
East-Blue JaysCentral-TigersWest-A'sWC-Angels (or Rangers, this one is a toss-up for me), Rays
Playoff teams, NL:
East-NationalsCentral-RedsWest-San FranciscoWC-Braves, Dodgers
World Series - Nationals over the Blue Jays.
Glad to see this thread. I'd guess it's derailed before the end of the day.
Cy Young - Justin Verlander. I don't know how anyone can pick another pitcher. He should be the favorite for the next 4-6 years.Runner up - Jered Weaver
MVP - Evan Longoria. As long as he can fight off the injury bug.Runner up - Miguel Cabrera
ROY - Trevor Bauer. I think he'll help keep the Indians in the AL Wild Card race most of the season.Runner up - As long as he's called up in time, the Rays' Wil Myers
Manager of the Year - Jim Leyland. The Tigers are loaded, but I think they will have a special year and Leyland will be rewarded.Runner up - Joe Maddon
No hitter - Felix Hernandez
Cy Young - Matt Cain. He just keeps getting better.Runner up - Clayton Kershaw
MVP - Andrew McCutchen. I think he'll have a monster year and lead the Pirates thisclose to the playoffs.Runner up - Joey Votto
ROY - Jedd Gyorko. Up and coming star on what may be a very bad Padres team.Runner up - Kolten Wong
Manager of the Year - Clint Hurdle. Can't deny him if the Pirates make the playoffs.Runner up - Davey Johnson
No hitter - Kris Medlen (will no-hit the punchless Marlins)
AL playoff teams:Rays, Tigers, Angels--division winnersBlue Jays and A's--wild card winners
NL playoff teamsNationals, Reds, GiantsBraves and Cardinals--wild card winners
World SeriesTigers over Nationals
I'll open the odds at 5:3 that the trolls infest this thread by nightfall.
MVP: Mike Trout, Angels -- his season pales in comparison to his 10-win 2012, dipping down to a still-healthy 7.5 fWAR total. No one else in the AL stands out in the obvious AVG/HR/RBI categories, and the media feels they owe him one for laying down the shaft last season.
Cy Young: Yu Darvish, Rangers -- Unproven? Probably. Homer pick? Definitely. Over his last 7-8 starts in 2012, he was probably the best pitcher in baseball. He's going to strikeout a ton of hitters, induce a bevy of weak contact, and get the adequate run support necessary to rack up a lot of wins.
Rookie of the year: Wil Myers, Rays -- The only thing that can keep him from winning ROY is playing time. Tampa runs a smart business, so they will most likely keep him in Triple-A until June or so to keep his arbitration clock back. But if he could get 450-500 plate appearances, he could generate quite a bit of offensive value.
Manager of the year: Terry Francona, Indians -- I think the 2nd place team in the AL Central will be about 18.0 games behind the Tigers when the season ends. The Indians are that team. 85 wins will make for a solid rookie coaching campaign, and let's face it, the media loves him because of how gracious he was in Boston. That will certainly work to his favor.
No-hitter: Bruce Chen
MVP: Justin UptonCY: Cliff LeeManger: Freddy GonzalezNo-hitter: Ted Lilly
ALW: RangersALC: TigersALE: Red SoxWC1: AngelsWC2: Rays
NLW: GiantsNLC: CardinalsNLE: NationalsWC1: BravesWC2: Reds
ALCS: Rangers > TigersNLCS: Cardinals > NationalsWS: Rangers > Cardinals
I'll play. Uncreatively enough, I am going to go with Eric's first 3 for the same reasons. MVP: Trout, CY: Yu Darvish, ROTY: Wil Myers. Following that:
Manager of the year: Bob Melvin
No-hitter: Josh Johnson
MVP: Buster PoseyCY: Zack GrienkeManager: Bud BlackNo-hitter: Madison Bumgarner
ALW: RangersALC: TigersALE: Blue Jays (You heard it here first)WC1: AthleticsWC2: Red Sox
NLW: GiantsNLC: CardinalsNLE: NationalsWC1: DodgersWC2: Padres (again, heard it here first)
ALCS: Rangers > TigersNLCS: Dodgers < NationalsWS: Rangers < Nationals (That'd be a cool historic series... But I have to go with the Nats. I'll be cheering against myself.)
.MVP: Evan Longoria, TBR (R/U: Joe Mauer, MIN)....CY: Yu Darvish, TEX (R/U: Felix Hernandez, SEA)..RoY: Trevor Bauer, CLE (R/U: Wil Myers, TBR)CPoY: Lance Berkman, TEX (R/U: Jon Lester, BOS)...Mgr: Tito Francona, CLE (R/U: Joe Madden, TBR)NoNo: Matt Harrison, TEX
ALE: RaysALC: TigersALW: RangersWC1: A'sWC2: Blue Jays
W: >>> A's beat Jays.1: >>> Rays beat Tigers.... >>> Rangers beat A's.2: >>> Rangers beat Rays
.MVP: B.J. Upton, ATL (R/U: Buster Posey, SFG)....CY: Steven Strasburg, WAS (R/U: Kris Medlen, ATL)..RoY: Shelby Miller, STL (R/U: Yasiel Puig, LAD)CPoY: Michael Young, PHI (R/U: Carl Crawford, LAD)...Mgr: Clint Hurdle, PIT (R/U: Dale Sveum, CHC)NoNo: Ryan Vogelsong, SFG
NLE: NationalsNLC: CardinalsNLW: DiamondbacksWC1: RedsWC2: Braves
W: >>> Braves beat Reds.1: >>> Cardinals beat Braves.... >>> Nationals beat Diamondbacks.2: >>> Cardinals beat Nationals
World Series: Cardinals beat Rangers
So long as Ron Washington is manager for the Rangers, he will continue to be outmaneuvered by superior managers. He just can't manage the environment in which his players operate.
MVP AL: Evan Longoria, Reyes 2ndMVP NL: Buster Posey, Giancarlo Stanton 2nd
AL Cy: Verlander, Darvish 2nd, Felix 3rdNL Cy: Hamels, Strasburg 2nd, Cueto 3rd
RoY AL: Jurickson Profar, Taijuan Walker 2nd RoY NL: Shelby Miller, ???
Rolaids AL: Ryan Cook Rolaids NL: Chapman
Mgr AL: Maddon Mgr NL: Johnson
AL W: AngelsAL C: Detroit AL E: RaysWC: Jays & Rangers
NL E: WashingtonNL C: RedsNL W: San FranWC: Barves & Dodgers
WC Rounds: Jays over Rangers, Barves over Dodgers
ALDS: Jays over Halos, Detroit over RaysALCS: Detroit over Jays
NLDS: Barves over San Fran, Washington over RedsNLCS: Barves over Washington
WS: Barves over Detroit
AL MVP: Jose Bautista, Blue Jays (runner up: Miguel Cabrera, Tigers)AL Cy Young: Felix Hernandex, Mariners (runner up: Yu Darvish, Rangers)AL Rookie of the Year: Bruce Rondon, Tigers (runner up: Wil Myers, Rays)AL Manager of the Year: Jim Leyland, Tigers (runner up: John Farrell, Red Sox)No-hitter: Jake Peavy, White Sox
AL West: RangersAL Central: TigersAL East: Red SoxAL Wild Card: Angels, Blue Jays
NL West: GiantsNL Central: RedsNL West: BravesNL Wild Card: Cardinals, Nationals
AL WC: Angels > Blue JaysALDS: Tigers > AngelsALDS: Rangers > Red SoxALCS: Tigers > Rangers
NL WC: Cardinals > NationalsNLDS: Braves > CardinalsNLDS: Reds > GiantsNLCS: Braves > Reds
World Series: Tigers > Braves in 5 games
ALMVP- Cano 2nd Longo 3rd PujolsCY- Hernandez 2nd Verlander 3rd DarvishROY- Myers 2nd Bauer 3rd ProfarManager- MaddonRolaids- Rodney
NLMVP- Votto, Posey, BraunCY- Kershaw, Strausburg, GallardoROY- Jed Gyorko, Billy HamiltonManager Bud black Rolaids- Chapman
AL East- Tampa BayAL Central-Kansas CityAL West- TexasWC1- LAAAAAAAAAAWC2- Toronto
NL East- WashingtonNL Central- RedsNL West- GiantsWC1- BravesWC2- PadresALWCLAAAA>TorontoDSLAAAA>TampaTexas>KCCSTexas>LAAAAANLWCPadres>BravesDSReds>PadresWashington>GiantsCSReds>Giants
WSRangers>RedsMVP- Lance Berkman
AL MVP: Mike TroutAL CY: Justin VerlanderAL ROY: Bruce RondonAL MANAGER OF THE YEAR: Buck Showalter
AL WEST: RangersAL CENTRAL: TigersAL EAST OriolesWILD CARDS: Blue Jays, Rays
ALWC: Blue Jays > RaysALDS: Tigers > OriolesALDS: Blue Jays > RangersALCS: Tigers > Blue Jays
AL---MVP: TroutCY: VerlanderROY: MyersManager: Leyland
NL---MVP: VottoCY: StrasburgROY: PuigManager: Johnson
WS: Tigers over Nationals in 6
Surprise me, Rangers.
AL MVP: Mike TroutAL CY: Yu Darvish (I actually think Verlander as well, but figured I'd zig when others zag)AL ROY: someone I've never heard of yetAL MANAGER OF THE YEAR: Joe Girardi
AL WEST: RangersAL CENTRAL: TigersAL EAST RaysWILD CARDS: Angels, Yankees
ALWC: Angels > YankeesALDS: Rangers > RaysALDS: Angels > TigersALCS: Rangers > Angels
NL MVP: Joey VottoNL CY: Stephen StrausburgNL ROY: ?NL Manager: Freddi Gonzalez
NL EAST: NationalsNL Central: CardinalsNL East: GiantsNLWC: Braves, Dodgers
ALWC: Braves > DodgersALDS: Nationals > GiantsALDS: Braves > CardinalsALCS: Nationals > Braves
WS: Rangers > Nationals
just b/c I am negative, i have to be a troll vs really thinking this is the truth. Gosslin was right on 1310 today. rangers will be fighting someone for 3rd in the west. to see any diff is, IMO, homer-shaded vision. A's pitching is elite and LAA offense has to be the favorite.
Remember signing A-Rod, Caminiti, Big Cat? The Rangers have shown that having elite offense doesn't always mean success. The Giants have shown that you win with consistent, upper-level pitching and timely hitting. The Rangers will be fine and the Angels will learn a lesson that the Rangers learned a long time ago.
"fine" means we are a toss up for WC? anyway, i think they and the A's will finish ahead of us, as much as I hate, and I do mean HATE both of them
The giants pitching was really overrated last year -- the raw ERA looks good because of their home park but their park adjusted ERA showed a team with a below average pitching staff and an above average offense. The only SP with an ERA plus above 103 was Matt Cain. and as a whole their teams ERA+ was 95.
Someone just said the A's pitching is elite. .
AL MVP- Robinson Cano(motivation for those $$$)
AL Cy Young- Felix Hernandez(facing the Astros a few times a year will help him with the W-L record)
AL Rookie- Dylan Bundy
AL Manager- No clue here, completely unpredictable. I'll go with Maddon
NL MVP- McCutchin
NL Cy Young- Kershaw
NL ROokie- Ryo
NL Manager- ???
East- Blue JaysCentral- TigersWest- AngelsWc- YankeesWc2- Rangers
East- NationalsCentral- CardinalsWest- DodgersWc- BravesWc2- Giants
WC- Rangers over Yanks/ Dodgers over Braves
AL- Jays over Rangers/ Tigers over AngelsJays over Tigers
NL- Nationals over Dodgers/ Cardinals over GiantsNationals over Cardinals
WS- Nationals over Jays
Fuck, I can't stop laughing
This is a pitching era. Good pitching trumps good offense more often than not. If the Rangers' pitching is good enough (and that's far from certain), I think we have a good chance of beating the Angels. I think while only a fool would think the Angels aren't the best offensive team going into the season, the Rangers' pitching has a higher ceiling than the Angels'. By quite a bit.
Watch, now that I said that, Joe Blanton will win the Cy Young award.
Pitching is the only way the Rangers succeed the Angels in the AL West this year. Hate it or love it, they have a better offense than us. They had a better offense than us last year, and now they have our best hitter. We should have the two best defenses in the division, particularly Anaheim's outfield and Texas's infield.
Where the Angels got worse is in their rotation, and it wasn't all that much to write home about last year, either. Following an arguable TORP (Weaver), they have C.J. Wilson coming off of bone chips, Tommy Hanson who is never healthy, and about 3 replacement-level starters (Blanton/Williams/Richards) to fill the final two holes (haha, two holes).
The Rangers have a TORP (Darvish), and at least three MORPs (Harrison/Holland/Ogando) who have the potential to pitch like #2's at any given season. When Colby Lewis comes back, that's another bonus.
What I think we're dealing with here is a lot like we've seen in the past, only the roles are reversed. The Rangers have always been the "no pitching all offense" team, and now that's the Angels. That's why I think the Rangers win the West in 2013.
I predict that Joey laughs at you.
Fair assessment, eric, but the Rangers scored the most runs in baseball last year. How did the Angels have a better offense than we did?
I wouldn't be surprised if they scored more runs than the Angels again this season. Yes, the Angels added our best hitter, but it's not like no one will be replacing his spot in the Rangers lineup. The Angels are essentially replacing Hunter and Morales with Hamilton and Bourjos, which is not a big improvement if you look at their production from last year. The Rangers lineup is more balanced as well; while the top of the order is not as formidable, they don't have the dropoff after the fifth spot that the Angels do, and they have six players capable of hitting 20+ home runs.
@SS21...Angels lost Greinke too.
Right, but I was just talking about offensive production.
I get you. I think the Angels are like the late 90's Rangers teams.
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