What is your opinion of the A.J. Pierzynski signing?
MJH on accountability
With all the talk, discussions, and debates about adding a Pujols or Fielder or whomever, I truly would like to hear what you guys think we should do if this scenario comes to fruition. Do you go after Mark Buehrle or Erik Bedard? Or do you role with the guys in house and coming up, even though Ramirez and Perez are not yet big league proven? Feliz in the rotation unproven? Or do you go unconventional and dole the rice? I mean, roll the dice? Hisashi Iwakuma (Olympic Gold Metal Winner) is a good pitcher and will cost no posting fee. Oakland paid $19M and failed to land him in 2010. He no longer requires one and is coming to the MLB. He is friends with Yu Darvish, who will likely have a lower posting fee than originally thought. Do you go for both Yu Darvish and Hisashi Iwakuma? I personally would. Darvish is flat nasty to both LH and RH hitters. Hisashi Iwakuma is a ground ball inducing machine, as Kenny Rogers was, which is what you need in our Ball Park or anywhere else with this IF defense of ours. And he will not be too expensive. I am curious to hear your thoughts and suggestions.
Doing a little digging on Google, Iwakuma was asking for Barry Zito money (7 years/$126 million) - no wonder Oakland balked!
I would definitely be interested, but it would have to be a much more reasonable contract. Let someone else make that mistake on an unproven (Stateside) pitcher. I'm not sure the Rangers would pony up the possible $200 million it would take to sign Iwakuma and Darvish. But it's a nice dream to have them both in the Rangers rotation for 2012.
I wouldn't say Oakland balked, after ponying up $19.1M just to negotiate. Had they had moere than 30 days, they'd have worked out something. He has hired a new agent, as the old one seemed to screw up the deal with Oakland. He has had a shoulder injury (no thanks to the Japan delivery rule) and is 30, thus his price tag has dropped significantly. But he is good. And I know the next arguement is that the talent over there is not equal to the MLB. I have Colby's numbers from 2008 - 2009 in Japan and 2010 - 2011 here. Very close. Some numbers vary, i.e. HR power here, but the overall answer is that they are very close. I think Colby would be the first to tell you that Japanese baseball is very competetive and is no "AAA" like league. You get him on the cheap, which in turn makes you more likely to work out a deal with Yu, should the Rangers win the posting bid.
I don't pay a dime for a SP unless he's a damn good bit better than Scoot Feldman, who we're already paying. Between Feldman, Feliz, Perez, and Ramirez, you'll find a 5th without spending a penny. If you think Yu is a TORP, or Shields is available at a reasonable price, great. If you can't get a true rotation-fronter, don't waste a penny on Buehrle or Bedard or the like. Go in house, knowing that the worst you get is Feldman, and hopefully one of Feliz/Perez/Ramirez outpitches someone and earns a rotation spot.
Scoob - Then who is your TORP in our rotation? I fully agree that we have mid and late rotation abundance, but in your rotation, who takes C.J.'s spot? Lewis? Holland? Ogando? Just asking. I like your way of thinking on this. It is the TORP that concerns me.
You look at production, not labels. You don't spend a lot on a guy slightly better than your other guys just because you feel you have to have a guy to call your #1. TORP does not mean the #1 on every team. It means true front-the-rotation guys. If CJ leaves, and we don't sign Darvish, or trade for Shields, then we won't have a TORP. And frankly, I'm not sure Shields is a TORP either, though I think he's a really solid proven #2. Someone will still get the Opening Day start, but he won't be a TORP. After Opening Day, it doesn't matter who you label your #1, #2, etc. They all pitch every 5th day. They all make 32-33 starts if they stay healthy all year.
If you have 5 guys who are strong, true #3 starters, your rotation is basically as good as a team that has a true #1, #2, #3, #4, and #5. You just don't really have a true pecking order. Or need one.
If the rotation on OD is Holland, Harrison, Lewis, Ogando, and Feldman, then I would give Harrison the Opend Day start, since he was our 2nd best pitcher all season after CJ. The fans will want Holland, because he threw a gem in the WS and does a killer Harry Carey impression. Wash will start Colby Lewis, because he's the vet and Wash loves him some vets. But it really, REALLY doesn't matter.
By playoffs, you'll figure out who has taken the step forward, or in Feldman's case returned to 2009 form.
I just don't see how replacing Feldman with Beurhle or Bedard or Edwin Jackson for $9-10m or Roy Oswalt (and his injury risk) for $12-13m is better than replacing Moreland with Fielder for $20m. The upgrade over Feldman seems pretty small there to me, especially for the money.
Besides, you're not getting any of those guys on 1-year deals, and you have to consider keeping a spot open in 2013 and beyond for Perez/Feliz/Ramirez. They will never be proven ML commodities until they get a chance to start.
Excellent stuff, Scooby!
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